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2008年8月29日星期五

The Big Question: What does it mean for the US if whites are no longer in the majority?

The Big Question: What does it mean for the US if whites are no longer in the majority?




By Paul Vallely
Friday, 15 August 2008

The white population will begin to shrink from 2031. By contrast, the population of Hispanic Americans, who have a much higher birth rate, will double so that one in three American citizens will be of Spanish background........

What are the political implications?

Considerable. Two things are going on. The white population is getting older and the non-white population is getting younger. By 2030, nearly one in five US residents is expected to be over the age of 65, with the proportion highest among whites. By mid-century the number of elderly people will have doubled. By contrast, by as soon as 2023, more than half of America's children will be non-white. ..................


Will the US change beyond recognition?

........ Whites will decline from their present 64.7 per cent of the population. But they will still be the biggest single group, representing 46 per cent compared to the Hispanics' 30 per cent. The whites will still exert a cultural dominance.


Does America face fundamental change?

Yes...

* Jobs will less often be allocated on racial lines and white housing will be desegregated
* The worst-educated whites will increasingly take on more menial, low-status jobs .......


No...

* The whites will remain the largest ethnic group and their values will remain dominant
* Latinos will integrate into the English-speaking culture as other groups did before............

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